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NAVIGATING THE CENTRAL FLORIDA MARKETPublished July 28, 2026
Back to School in Central Florida: 2026 Dates, Tax Savings and Market Trends
Back-to-school season affects more than morning routines. For Central Florida families, it can influence shopping plans, moving timelines and decisions about buying or selling a home.
Florida’s 2026 Back-to-School Sales Tax Holiday provides an opportunity to save on qualifying purchases. At the same time, 20 years of Orlando-area housing data show that real estate activity often begins to slow as summer ends and students return to school.
Understanding both timelines can help families prepare without rushing an important financial decision.
Important Central Florida school dates
The first day of school for the 2026-2027 school year is:
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Lake County Schools: August 10, 2026
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Osceola County Schools: August 10, 2026
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Seminole County Public Schools: August 10, 2026
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Orange County Public Schools: August 11, 2026
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Families should also plan ahead for Thanksgiving Break, Winter Break, Spring Break and the last day of school. District calendars may be revised, particularly when weather make-up days are needed, so confirm dates directly with the school district before scheduling travel, childcare or a move.
Save during Florida’s Back-to-School Sales Tax Holiday

Florida’s 2026 Back-to-School Sales Tax Holiday runs from July 20 through August 20, 2026.
Qualifying purchases may include:
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Personal computers and eligible accessories priced at $1,500 or less
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Clothing, footwear, backpacks and eligible bags priced at $100 or less per item
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School supplies priced at $50 or less per item
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Learning aids and jigsaw puzzles priced at $30 or less
Price limits, exclusions and other requirements apply. Consumers can review the complete rules through the Florida Department of Revenue.
For families preparing to move, the holiday may help reduce the cost of computers, clothing and supplies. However, buyers should keep money reserved for inspections, insurance, closing costs, moving expenses, and unexpected repairs.
What 20 years of housing data show
An analysis of the Orlando Area Market 20 Year History covering 2006 through 2025 reveals several recurring late-summer patterns.
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August closed sales were lower than July in 13 of 20 years. The average August change was a decline of approximately 1.8 percent.
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September closed sales were lower than August in 17 of 20 years. The average decline was approximately 9.7 percent.
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The August median sales price was lower than July in 16 of 20 years, with an average monthly change of approximately 2 percent.
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Months of available inventory increased between August and September in 17 of 20 years, rising by an average of approximately 0.66 months.
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Average days on market increased from August to September in 14 of 20 years and remained unchanged once.
These figures suggest that the market frequently loses some momentum around the start of school. Buyer activity often slows, available supply may last longer and sellers may face less urgency than during the spring and early summer.
The pattern is not a guarantee, and it does not prove that school schedules cause the change. Interest rates, insurance costs, economic conditions, hurricanes and the number of homes available can have a much greater effect. Closed sales also reflect contracts negotiated several weeks earlier.
Median-price changes should be interpreted carefully. A lower monthly median does not necessarily mean every home lost value. It may simply mean that a different combination of homes sold that month.
What happened during the 2025 back-to-school period?
The 2025 market followed several of the longer-term patterns.
Orlando-area closed sales declined from 2,551 in July to 2,306 in August, a decrease of 9.6 percent. Sales then declined to 2,245 in September.
The median sales price moved from $389,999 in July to $382,950 in August and $378,000 in September.
Months of inventory increased from 5.31 in July to 5.77 in August and 5.79 in September. Homes averaged 69 days on market in July, 75 days in August and 72 days in September.
The average sale-to-list-price ratio also moved from 96.91 percent in July to 96.71 percent in August and 96.11 percent in September.
This does not mean every seller accepted a large discount. It does indicate that buyers generally had more time and negotiating room than during the unusually competitive markets of 2021 and early 2022.
What buyers should know
Late August and September may offer buyers an opportunity to shop with fewer competing families. Homes that did not sell during the summer may have accumulated days on market, and some sellers may become more open to reasonable repairs, closing-cost credits or price adjustments.
Buyers should still evaluate each property individually. A well-priced home in a popular neighborhood can attract strong interest in any month.
Before making an offer:
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Obtain a complete preapproval rather than relying on an online estimate.
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Compare the full monthly payment, including taxes, insurance and association fees.
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Review the roof, electrical system, plumbing and other items that may affect Florida insurance.
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Verify the assigned schools directly with the school district.
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Ask whether boundary changes or new-school assignments are under consideration.
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Keep school-supply savings separate from funds reserved for closing and emergencies.
A REALTOR® can help locate homes within a requested area, but families should conduct their own school research. School ratings, programs, boundaries and transportation options can change.
What sellers should know
Sellers hoping to attract families who want to move before school starts should begin planning well before August. Preparation, repairs, photography, pricing and marketing all require time.
A home that reaches the market after school begins can still sell successfully, but the strategy may need to change. When activity slows, accurate pricing and strong property condition become even more important.
Sellers should consider:
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Reviewing comparable sales from the most recent 30 to 90 days
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Comparing current competition rather than relying on last spring’s market
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Addressing repair or insurance concerns before listing
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Making showing times workable for families with school schedules
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Evaluating seller credits alongside price instead of automatically rejecting them
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Preparing for a longer marketing period when inventory is elevated
The 20-year history shows that September frequently has fewer closed sales and more months of supply than August. Sellers who recognize that shift early can respond strategically instead of making emotional decisions after several weeks on the market.
Should you move before or after school starts?
There is no universal answer.
Moving before school starts may simplify enrollment and help children begin the year in their new routine. Buying after school begins may provide more negotiating room if competition and showing activity decline.
The best timing depends on employment, financing, housing needs, school assignments, insurance availability and the specific property. A seasonal pattern should inform the decision—not control it.
Make a plan for the entire transition
Back-to-school shopping is one part of a larger household budget. Families considering a move should calculate the combined cost of supplies, deposits, inspections, insurance, closing expenses, repairs and moving services.
Saving during Florida’s sales tax holiday is helpful. Structuring a real estate decision around the right home, affordable payment and realistic timeline can have a much larger long-term effect.
Planning a Central Florida move around the school year? Call or text Christopher Baker at 407-222-1939 for a property-specific market and relocation plan.
About Christopher Baker: Christopher is an Air Force Veteran and Central Florida REALTOR® who helps families make confident real estate decisions and use homeownership to build lasting wealth.
Market data source: Orlando Area Market 20 Year History, 2006-2025, compiled from ORRA Monthly Sales and Inventory Reports using Stellar MLS data. Seasonal calculations compare all 20 July, August and September periods included in the report.
Christopher Baker
| Christopher Baker Team | Keller Williams Advantage III Realty
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